Could you speculate on that !

A close cyberfriend of mine (although I have no other one) lately told me the following:

"...if you have arms, and you don't use them, then you don't really need them...but if you show you need to use them, then you get more...it is complicated..."

The above quotation is in context of the current Middle East crisis. In other words, according to my cyberfriend (who, by the way, is a well-literate person in foreign policies and a researcher in Middle Eastern studies), it represents the main direct yet complex whole perception of the current crisis.
I won't add more but I leave you to speculate on it (which I will be doing the same right now).